Best bet: Race 9 n ° 5 Battle Storm
The lead in the trial was excellent. Pike, blinders and back to Belmont at 1000m all the big ticks.
Next best: Lead girl of the race 7 n ° 2
Resumption of the class mare. The trial was very good and the last two runs were great.
Value bet: Race 8 n ° 9 Massimo
Cards to be up to speed. The recent test was hot, handles wet and love it here.
Step 1: 1.7.9
2nd step: 2,4,7
Step 3: 5,6,9,11,13
Step 4: 5
R1: 1200m 2yo Open
1 NO OTHER MAN
3 WRITTEN OVERRUN
5 JEUNEY DE ROMMEL
2 ORDERING ROMMEL
Race preview: Open the 2-year-old race to start the day. AIN’T NO OTHER MAN opened up the market for elected officials and it’s easy to see why based on its general shape. It was too classy for its rivals at the last start at 1400m in a very slow race, accelerating very late. Coming back to 1200m is not negative and he is preparing for a good race. WRITTEN EXCEED was good in its early days and can fight back after going flat in early two. The return of the pike is a positive and the inside draw should be profitable. ROMMEL’S JEUNEY has tested well in preparation for this and comes from a good team. His teammate ROMMEL’S COMMAND should be better suited when traveling and could improve with the Cross Over Nose Band for the first time.
Suggested bet: Nothing
R2: 1,200 m 3 years
6 GRACE GIRL
1 HOT ZED
2 QUEEN BROWN
3 MISS IVY LEAGUE
Race preview: GRACEFUL GIRL was unsuitable for the last start when he was too far behind on a slow tempo. She got home the last 200 meters in 11.16 seconds which was the fastest of the day and felt the climb to 1200 meters and more pressure on the map for HOT ZED should see her change the result at the last start. The $ 2 available seems a reasonable price considering his talent. HOT ZED is the obvious danger but he got all the favors from the last start and loses Jason Whiting who has an excellent record on this horse and is replaced by a 4/100 apprentice who is fighting for form. QUEEN BROWN is another horse that will be better suited to the 1200m and is helped by the Apprentice’s protest. MISS IVY LEAGUE lacks class but has a formidable Trainer / Jock combo and will run at speed.
Suggested bet: GRACEFUL GIRL (Win)
R3: 1200m without Metro Win race
1 I AM PRETTY
7 QUEEN OF SOUL
3 NATIVE BODYWORK
Race overview: I thought the recent I’M PRETTY trial was great at Lark Hill and love that Willie Pike is staying with her after riding the horse in this heat. She has a good record on this track and thinks, given the speed she showed during the trial, that they are advancing here. Her recent form is a little questionable, but her best is quite capable of earning that and the lawsuit suggests she’s about to burst into flames. Happy to play each way at $ 5.50. OHBEEH has a great track record here and is very honest. He will know about it and has tried hard for it. The Ramoly / Taylor combination is still very profitable. QUEEN OF SOUL may only have won a first start, but has a real advantage. The 3rd behind Captain Kink two starts back reads well for this. NATIVE CHIMES had some great races here last season and also tested well enough to prepare for that. Chris Parnham’s reservation indicates that it’s up to her to earn fresh for the new camp.
Suggested bet: I’m pretty (in every way)
R4: winning race in metro 1000 m
2 COMES A TIME
1 AGENT JAY
10 TIME SCALE
Race overview: Looks like a very winnable race for the rescue horse here COME A TIME. He was solid here last week in a good race when 3 wide the trip at 1200m and in the slower lanes in the straight. Paul Harvey is a big positive as his combination with Justin Warwick shows a 35% profit on turnover. Backing up to 1000m is fine for this guy and he has done well on soft trails in the past. MERCANTO was definitely at the last start, but it was in a better race than this. Thinking back to a surface affected by rain, it will improve and show its damage the best. AGENT JAY has the class to win and Keshaw Durun claiming 3kgs will help him fly by the minute. TIME SCALE is well weighted and is going in great shape this campaign. Must be a winning hope.
Suggested bet: COMES A TIME (Win)
R5: 2100m Ratings 66+
12 LORD LONSDALE
6 born to try
11 BLACKWATER BAY
1 BLACK SHADOW
Race overview: Happy to be alongside LORD LONSDALE on the fast return here rising to 2100m. I love that Kristy Bennett is back because she has a good record on the horse and assesses leaders well, but mainly because it brings him down to 51kg. He likes wet trails so forecast rain is no problem and feels like he’s about to peak here 5e up. The market should pick it up late. BORN TO TRY beat LORD LONSDALE last week and got SP on this galloper but the race was run to suit a swooper and now meets this galloper 3.5kg lighter in weight. She is however talented and runs extremely well. BLACKWATER BAY is under the odds but has advantages and the market loves it every opportunity so they rate it. He always seemed to scream for this distance and is about to peak this preparation now being 4e up. BLACK SHADOW is in great shape and is the benchmark horse here. Love this trail and handle all trail conditions.
Suggested bet: LORD LONSDALE (Win)
R6: 1300 m a Metro Win race
7 ISLAND MISSILE
9 BILLY RAY
2 WIRE WIRE
1 QUEEN ZEPHYR
Race overview: I loved ISLAND MISSILE’s first race when he narrowly missed out against Guns Of Navarone in the best last 600m of the day. He will improve his physical form with the race under the belt and the rain will be a big plus for his chances. Look at the odds here at $ 10. BILLY RAY was beaten by the form of the race at the last start in a very, very slow race behind SON SON which had all the favors. Convinced by more speed in the race, BILLY RAY can turn the situation around and now his 4e it should be at its peak. HIS SOUND is an obvious chance, but gee he’s short in the market for a horse coming from the bigger PR- (Perfect Run) last start. ZEPHYR QUEEN has class and despite his despair, the first could bounce back.
Suggested bet: ISLAND MISSILE (Win, Place 1×3), BILLY RAY (Win)
R7: 1400m Ratings 72+
2 LEADER GIRL
7 SONS OF BACCHUS
10 GOD WAR
Race overview: Thought LEADING GIRL tested very well what led to this and on her last two runs she was narrowly beaten by Free Trade and Nerodio while both were in the air which is a quality form for that. He is a quality horse and has the Pike factor which is a huge tick because he did not ride the mare the last preparation. Being the first, it probably drifts late in the market and will take $ 4 + which is a good price. MOSCHARD runs really well this preparation and comes back to Belmont that he adores his own more at 1400m which is his maximum distance. He was unlucky in the last start and looks like a top player considering the card he gets for Brad Rawiller. SON OF BACCHUS was brilliantly tested before the surprise victory and is greatly underestimated by this market. Up to 1400m, he could roll forward. WAR GOD runs very well here and loves the 1400m. He is preparing a good race and maybe at the finish.
Suggested bet: LEADING GIRL (Win)
R8: Belmont Sprint Group 3 1400m
6 THE KING OF VELVET
5 MONEY ISSUES
11 UNI TIME
Race preview: Quality edition of the Belmont Sprint with ELITE STREET, the first elected members of the market. I thought 1400m was a real question for the winner of Winterbottom and think he’s under the odds given that. KAY CEE, the second favorite, will come back and hasn’t tried as well as she can in preparation for it, so happy to risk it too. I thought the forgotten horse is MASSIMO who can lead here and will be extremely suitable on the wet track. He was hopelessly unlucky in the Roma Cup and has since tested in an electric style. He did not miss the first two on this track and over this distance. THE VELVET KING has proven itself well and has obviously been targeted in this race after taking a photo last year. He loves the wet and is one of the most elegant gallopers on the court. MONEY MATTERS is piloting this preparation and was brilliant in winning the Roma Cup. He’s another horse with a great record here and the wet isn’t a drawback. UNI TIME completed the last start well and finished third in the last train preparation. He looks way above the odds keeping his form and having a good trip.
Suggested bet: MASSIMO (Win), VELVET KING (Win)
R9: 1000m Ratings 72+
5 BATTLE STORM
4 WE HAVE DREAMS
Ten EEYORE WAYZ
Race overview: I won’t see the horse trial much better than BATTLE STORM at Lark Hill on 3/5 covering the ground late in great style without any pressure to win its race. Blinkers On and Pike suggest he’s here to win. His 5/5 here in the 1000m and his only loss on this trip was the first of a long break last spring at Ascot finishing 1.7 lengths off Elite Street with 4kg heavier than this galloper. Think the $ 3.50 is a very fair price and expect it to drift late given its average run on the last start. WE’VE GOT DREAMS has also had some outstanding testing in this area and is another with a great track record here. Yuill and Lane as a combination are very profitable and his price is just too long given his talent. NERODIO is a Belmont specialist and was good penultimate start. The request for him is back in the 1000m as he thinks he is much better suited to the 1200m, but Ramoly’s claim and consistency make him a top player. EEYORE WAYZ did a lot of good things in the last preparation and can run a daring race first.
Suggested bet: BATTLE STORM (Win)